
Forex is all about how to hit the next ball correctly rather than worrying about something of a distant future. The next ball may be for 2 pips or 20 pips or 200 pips or 500 pips depending on a traders style.Anything is possible in Forex.I am useless as a daytrader. Corrections may take days or longer to complete.Good quality info is everything in this game.Bottom picking in the Usd/Jpy is the Mother of all risky trades.We learn how to trade till we stop trading and we learn from each other everyday.
That is the beauty of trading and life in general.Do not worry about what market will do. Just worry about what you will do when market reaches your "pain point" or "happy point". You will have an easier life as a trader thatway.Forex players can operate quietly, but they cannot hide their moves in those charts. Yes, no liquidity and no conviction by players make the market look like a vagrant loitering in his usual area. Good forecasts and trades.Good sleep is essential for
good trading but most of the traders I know of seem to sleep with one eye open.
Traders that try to pick the tops and bottoms of the market throughout the day end up with mostly misery because inexperienced fellows in Forex departments even in first division clubs try to pick the tops and bottoms believing that is where the real big money is. And ego
demonstration and bonus consideration comes into play too for smart college graduates. The first thing I do when facing new recruits is, do my best to destroy their ego and fear in the market first. Once their ego and fear are reasonably cured, they become dutiful followers of the market like Pavolvs hounds and they can survive. And once they can survive, they can be taught on how to put temporary tops and bottoms to the market at much higher level of speculation school.
Then, that may take at least a decade of training too.The concept of fair value in any currency is largely that of CBers and economists and not much about trading ..Almost always currencies
overshoot from the fair value areas some 20-30% in their medium-term trend and what makes all hard currencies range in
reasonable areas overtime since we had this floating regime in 1971 must
ability of relevant CBs to control the currency ranges and their real economy's weakness or strength to support those ranges. ECB folks were not joking when they said Eur/usd was some 25% undervalued from the fair value when Eur/Usd was below parity levels two years ago. Same goes for BOJ when they were saying Yen was some 10-20% overvalued when it was trading around 100 some three years ago too. That is how these folks view the markets and try to guide the market. Of course, when US Treasury folks say "Dollar is still strong" when it is falling, they are begging the market to sell more Dollars.











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